2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:30 PM · Canvas Stadium
Colorado @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreLean
Colorado
30.9
Colorado State
23.0
Colorado State win probability: 31%
Margin (Colorado State − Colorado): -7.9 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Colorado 28 – Colorado State 9 (margin error 11.1, total error 16.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.