2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 4:00 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Kent State @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
13.7
Pittsburgh
36.4
Pittsburgh win probability: 93%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Kent State): 22.7 (80% range 3 to 42)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Kent State 24 – Pittsburgh 55 (margin error 8.3, total error 28.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.87% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.