2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 8:30 PM · Maverik Stadium
Utah @ Utah State
Predicted scoreConfident
Utah
35.9
Utah State
16.5
Utah State win probability: 11%
Margin (Utah State − Utah): -19.4 (80% range -40 to 0)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Utah 38 – Utah State 21 (margin error 2.4, total error 6.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.72% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.