2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
West Virginia @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreToss-up
West Virginia
28.8
Pittsburgh
26.5
Pittsburgh win probability: 44%
Margin (Pittsburgh − West Virginia): -2.3 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: West Virginia 34 – Pittsburgh 38 (margin error 6.3, total error 16.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.