2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Texas A&M @ Florida

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas A&M

25.0

Florida

23.7

Florida win probability: 47%

Margin (Florida − Texas A&M): -1.3 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Texas A&M 33 – Florida 20 (margin error 11.7, total error 4.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.