2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Yager Stadium
Cincinnati @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Cincinnati
27.3
Miami (OH)
26.5
Miami (OH) win probability: 48%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Cincinnati): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Cincinnati 27 – Miami (OH) 16 (margin error 10.2, total error 10.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.